I’m sure none of the parties are entirely happy with yesterday’s election results. Vision retains control of City Council, with Mayor Gregor Robertson and 6 councillors re-elected, but suffered big loses on Park Board and School Board. The NPA and Greens both gained seats, but neither had the breakthrough they were looking for at City Council. COPE, and all of the smaller parties, didn’t even come close to electing anyone.
Only 11 of the 27 candidates I voted for won, but I’m reasonably satisfied with the results. Vision still has a majority at City Council and can continue to push improvements to bike infrastructure and the urban realm. I hope that Adriane Carr will find a way to join Vision on the Greenest City plan instead of opposing it and everything else.
I plan on doing a deeper analysis of the election results once the spreadsheets are published to find out what happened (my big questions are listed at the bottom), but here is a quick look at the numbers.
- 25% more people voted this election than last time. That is huge!
- In 2011 there were 144,823 votes cast. In 2014 there were 181,707 – 36,884 more.
- Turnout will likely still be less than 50%, but take it with a grain of salt.
- People who move away or die are rarely removed from the voters list, inflating the number of registered voters and skewing turnout percentages.
- Gregor Robertson did well, winning with 83,500 votes (6,500 more than 2011).
- The narrower victory was a result of COPE not a stronger NPA.
- COPE’s mayoral candidate, Meena Wong, received nearly 16,800 votes.
- The NPA gained 15,300 votes, but its vote share only increased by 1%.
- Nearly 3,000 voters chose “None of the Above” for a mayor, twice as many as in 2011.
- 6 Vision, 3 NPA, and 1 Green
- Only change is Melissa De Genova replacing Tony Tang.
- Adriane Carr did amazingly well, attracting 74,077 votes from across the spectrum.
- Carr’s popularity didn’t extend to other Green council candidates, who weren’t close.
- Randomized ballots are needed. Top 5 vote getters have ABCD names.
- 3 elected NPA candidates outpaced their Vision rivals, but didn’t extend to full slate.
- 4 NPA, 2 Green, 1 Vision
- Vision got wiped out.
- Lots of contentious issues: whales in the aquarium, community centre independence, bike lanes in parks.
- Most disappointed that Brent Granby missed a spot by 1392 votes.
- 4 Vision, 4 NPA, and 1 Green
- Closest race last night: Ken Clement misses last school board spot by 255 votes.
- Incumbents Woo and Denike (expelled from NPA for homophobic views) are trounced.
- After just missing spots in 2011, NPA elects Ballantyne and Robertson.
- Not sure why newcomer Joy Alexander did so well, other than listed first alphabetically.
Note: All charts show candidates receiving more than 10,000 votes.
Asterisks (*) indicate incumbents.
Some questions I’d like to answer.
- How important is being one of the first candidates alphabetically?
- Where are the regional pockets of support (harder to tell with open voting)?
- Why did Vision do so bad on Parks Board?
- Which candidates had the same supporters? See 2011 council correlations.
- Was vote splitting a problem?
Vancouver’s election is only 10 days away. Advanced polls opened yesterday, so you can vote now. The only thing holding you back is choosing who to vote for. Vancouver’s ballot will likely be the most intimidating ballot you’ve ever seen. You have to pick 1 mayor, 10 city councillors, 7 parks board commissioners, and 9 school trustees from a list of 108 candidates! Don’t worry, I’m here to help.
I’ve read all the platforms, quizzed the candidates on twitter, participated in the reddit AMAs, read their survey responses, and attended a debate. Here’s my take.
Disclaimer: I’m heavily biased toward bike-friendly, environmentalist, hipster candidates who will improve Vancouver’s livability. The issues most important to me are transportation, the environment, the urban realm, and the tech sector. I recognize affordable housing as Vancouver’s biggest challenge, but I don’t think there is much the city can do to address it.
- Vision – The incumbents lead by Mayor Gregor Robertson. Running on their track record over the past 6 years, including separated bike lanes, Greenest City, laneway housing, and food carts. I love what they’ve done for Vancouver. Platform includes pushing the Broadway Subway plan, opposing Kinder Morgan pipeline, and creating affordable housing (all of which they have little control over). Criticized for not consulting enough with neighbourhoods and causing too much change.
- NPA – Main challenger. Right-wing party lead by Kirk LaPointe. Promising to “consult more” which could mean anything or nothing. Platform was only released yesterday, but it includes more outdoor swimming pools, attracting oil and gas companies, and goodies for people who drive. Doesn’t like separated bike lanes.
- COPE – Former left-wing powerhouse, now ghost of its former self. I used to volunteer and support them, but the party has been wrecked by infighting and their best candidates have left for Vision, PEP, and OneCity. Platform includes a $15 minimum wage, a bus pass for every Vancouver taxpayer, and a tax on empty homes.
- Greens – Up-and-comers. Won first council seat last election and poised to win more this time. Riding wave of environmental concern, but with few environmental ideas of their own. Likes to oppose things, like the Broadway subway and new density, which I would argue is an important part of making Vancouver more sustainable. I voted for Adriane Carr last election, but regretted it as she ignored environmental issues.
- Cedar Party – Bike haters who enjoy suing the city (and losing).
- Vancouver First – Oddball party of homophobic, former-NPA school trustees, a disgraced community centre chair, and a former-Olympian.
- Public Education Project (PEP) – The best COPE school trustees now running under a new banner.
- OneCity – One candidate. RJ Aquino, formerly of COPE. One of my favourite candidates from the last election.
My Endorsed Slates
- Robertson, Gregor (Vision) – Vancouver’s hip, cycling mayor
City Council (10)
- Reimer, Andrea (Vision) – leads the Greenest City initiative
- Deal, Heather (Vision) – food cart champion
- Aquino, RJ (OneCity) – best ideas on affordable housing
- Sharma, Niki (Vision) – passionate about social justice
- Meggs, Geoff (Vision) – transportation guru
- Louie, Raymond (Vision) – finance wiz
- Jang, Kerry (Vision) – focused on housing homeless
- Tang, Tony (Vision) – seniors advocate
- Stevenson, Tim (Vision) – provocateur of Russians
- Barrett, Lisa (COPE) – former Bowen Island mayor and bike racer
Parks Board (7)
- Granby, Brent (Vision) – Super knowledgeable, favourite twitter follower
- Tull, Coree (Vision) – Double Rainbow Dodgeball founder
- Loke, Trevor (Vision) – Young and running for re-election
- Rumbaua, Sammi Jo (Vision)
- Girn, Naveen (Vision)
- Evans, Catherine (Vision)
- Romaniuk, Anita (COPE) – advocate for riverfront parks and restoration of streams
School Board (9)
- Bacchus, Patti (Vision) – current chair and outspoken advocate for public schools
- Bouey, Jane (PEP) – former COPE
- Clement, Ken (Vision)
- Giesbrecht, Gwen (PEP) – former COPE
- Lombardi, Mike (Vision)
- Payne, Cherie (Vision)
- Wong, Allan (Vision) – former COPE
- Wynen, Rob (Vision)
- Alexander, Joy (Vision)
Alternates – Some other decent candidates:
- Fry, Pete (Green) – Strong advocate for Strathcona and cyclist, but anti-development
- McDowell, Rob (NPA) – only NPA candidate that responded to HUBs bike survey.
- Oak, Mischa (Green) – LGBTQ advocate
There are so many talented individuals running for Vision Vancouver nominations for Park Board and School Board. I’m glad they’re giving members an opportunity to vote in open nominations. It’s weird how rare that is for civic parties. It was a tough choosing who to support, but I decided based on personal conversations, their websites, and endorsements. Here are my choices:
- Graham Anderson – passionate cyclist, founder of cargo bike delivery company Shift
- Brent Granby – super knowledgeable on civic issues, great twitter account
- Trish Kelly – local food advocate, brought Meatless Mondays to Vancouver
- Coree Tull – Double Rainbow Dodgeball, endorsed by Nathan Cullen
- Joy Alexander – experienced in the educational system, plus a cyclist and runner
Photo by Constance Barnes on twitter.
Vancouver doesn’t have a ward system, so city council councillors don’t represent a neighbourhood, but rather the city as a whole. I don’t want to go into the pros/cons of a ward vs at-large system, but it is interesting to see where candidates live.
Vision-blue, NPA-red, and COPE-yellow, other-purple – I chose to put the other parties as purple dots to prevent clutter.
– south-east Vancouver has no candidates (from the major parties), even though it is densely populated.
– The breakdown of candidates by large geographical area is:
– Downtown: 1 Vision, 4 NPA, 7 other
– West side: 4 Vision, 3 NPA, 1 COPE, 8 other
– East side: 3 Vision, 3 NPA, 2 COPE, 15 other
– NPA candidate Bill McCreery lives in Richmond
Note: the address of each candidate is listed on their nomination papers available on the Vancouver Votes website.
Continue reading Where do Vancouver’s City Council Candidates Live?