I did a quick analysis of the Vancouver election results last night, but this morning I did a deeper dive into the data (Skyrim can wait).
I went through the 135 polling districts and tried to find interesting patterns and changes from 2008 to 2011. Here are some of the highlights:
- Mayor Gregor Robertson’s best polls were in Commercial Drive, Mount Pleasant, and Fairview Slops – where he beat Anton by over 500 votes in 13 polls. In poll 33 (heart of Commercial Drive), he topped Anton by a whopping 822 votes!
- Suzanne Anton’s best polls were in Shaughnessy, Kerrisdale, and south-east Vancouver, but the most she was able to beat Gregor by was 386 votes in poll 89.
- Vision’s new super-star candidate is Andrea Reimer. Last election she had the most votes in only one poll. This time, she overcame the donkey vote to finish first in 28 polls (tied with Raymond Louie).
- The West-End put Adriane Carr on Council. She had the most votes in 5 polls (1, 2, 5, 6, 8).
- Despite being one of least popular Vision councillors (at least in terms of votes), Geoff Meggs had the most votes in poll 35 (Olympic Village). Geoff Meggs has taken a keen interest on the Olympic Village, blogging about it frequently, which apparently residents appreciate.
- What’s going on in West Point Grey (polls 129 and 130)? Last election they voted strongly NPA. This time they voted for Robertson and the top city council candidates were Geoff Meggs (who was barely a factor here in 2008) and maverick NPA candidate Bill McCreery, and Adriane Carr had some of her best results outside of the West End.
- The biggest swings to Robertson were in polls 37, 132, 104, 32, and 130 – Kitsilano, Mount Pleasant, and Point Grey – where he picked up an extra 202-342 votes.
- Robertson lost the most support in polls 88, 83, 59, 61, 82, and 89 – heavily Chinese neighbourhoods in south-east and east Vancouver – where Anton gained 223-291 votes.
Continue reading Deep Dive into the Vancouver Election Results
I’m tired and it’s been a long day. I spent 12 hours scrutineering at Renfrew Community Centre, ensuring that Vision got its supporters to the polls. I hope it isn’t a reflection of my hard work, but Suzanne Anton received 50 more votes than Gregor in my poll – which had me freaked out on my bike ride home because I was worried it was going to be a trend across the city. It didn’t help that when I got home the initial results had Anton in the lead.
But now that the results are all in, I’m extremely happy. Gregor beat Anton by a sizable margin, every Vision candidate won, and city council is dominated by environmentally friendly councillors. Now we can focus on 3 more years of bike lanes, food carts, and green initiatives.
My random thoughts on…
The end result is pretty close to my endorsed slate, which I didn’t actually vote for. I debated for a long time what do to with my 10th council vote (between Affleck, Garossino, and Carr) and ended up voting for Carr. I’m happy that she won, but would have been happier with Ellen Woodsworth, who finished in 11th. The biggest disappointment for me is RJ Aquino. RJ’s response to not being elected “At least now I know I’ll have time to play Skyrim”. I wanted to see what he could do on council.
Shifts in Support
Continue reading Vancouver Election Results – Reaction and Analysis
Saturday, November 19, 8:00 AM – 8:00 PM
Check out the City of Vancouver’s election website for basic information on where to vote and what identification you need.
Whomever you think will represent your interests and make Vancouver awesome. I’ll be voting for the Vision/COPE slate, with a few small changes thrown in.
For some other opinions, check out:
For Mayor, I’ll be voting for Gregor Robertson of Vision Vancouver.
For council, my votes in order of preference:
- Andrea Reimer (Vision) – cool, environmentalist, leading Greenest City initiative
- Geoff Meggs (Vision) – transportation guru, supportive of bike lanes
- Heather Deal (Vision) – DSF scientist, lead food cart initiative
- RJ Aquino (COPE) – young, hip, engaged
- Kerry Jang (Vision) – medical health professor, lead push for homeless shelters
- Ellen Woodsworth (COPE) – advocate for affordable housing and social justice
- George Affleck (NPA) – former Modo chair and cycling supporter
- Raymond Louie (Vison) – smart, articulate
- Tony Tang (Vision) – he’s the man(g)
- Tim Stevenson (Vision) – experienced
My thoughts on other candidates I considered voting for:
- Sean Bickerton (NPA) – I like him, he’s a smart guy, he’s willing to debate on twitter, just a bit misguided on cycling issues.
- Tim Louis (COPE) – only COPE candidate I’m not voting for. Not impressed with his combative style.
- Adriane Carr (Green) – I love the Green party, but very disappointed in Carr – she proposed bike-free streets and had the worst answers at Last Candidate Standing. I don’t think she understands urban issues at all.
- Sandy Garossino – I like that she is talking about affordable housing, but not sure where she stands on other issues. Plus stopping foreign ownership is borderline xenophobic.
- Neighbourhoods for Sustainable Vancouver (NSV) – Too much NIMBY-ism. Stopping all housing development will not make Vancouver affordable.
For School Board and Parks Board I’ll be voting for the Vision/COPE slate.
Here’s some video advice from Dan Mangan:
I would urge you to look at the candidates and choose ones that have decided to not go with attack ads, to not go with the low road, to not go with lowest common denominator politics, to not go with strategic griping, but sort of a politician who perhaps actually has passion, who takes into consideration a lot of issues that are on all of our minds.
And some advice from Vancouver cyclists:
I’m really going to vote for a bike-friendly candidate because this is amazing. To see how many people are getting out, to see the healthiness that we’re inspiring in Vancouver, to have safety, I think, is really key, and we want to support those in city council that are going to support cyclists.
Homelessness is one of those issues that gets a lot of attention, but seems too big to fix.
Last month, during Homeless Action Week, I went to a documentary night where Judy Graves and a street nurse answered questions after the films. What surprised me was how both of them were adamant that things have gotten better in the past 3 years. Still bad, but not desperate as things were 3 years ago when both documentaries were filmed in Vancouver.
What’s changed? Vancouver has opened HEAT shelters to ensure no one has to sleep on the streets in the winter. And there are 1500 new low-income units being built in Vancouver from a partnership with the province started under NPA mayor Sam Sullivan and continued by Gregor Robertson.
The number of homeless people in Vancouver has stabilized, but the biggest change has been in the number of shelter spots available. You can read more about the numbers on Frances Bula’s blog.
Vision Vancouver is promising to end street homelessness by 2015. I think that’s an ambitious and near-impossible task, especially without more help from the province and federal governments, but our current city council cares and will do as much as possible to help, and hopefully things will continue to improve.
Photo by quinet
Reason #3: Urban Agriculture
Vancouver has always been a strong supporter of urban agriculture. The 100-mile diet was developed in BC, many restaurants showcase local ingredients, and the Farmers Markets have been growing since 1995. Vision Vancouver has continued that support by making legislative changes to support the farmers markets, increasing the number of community gardens, and allowing Vancouverites to keep backyard chickens and bee hives.
This shouldn’t be a political issue, but for some reason Suzanne Anton and the NPA have decided to attack Vancouver’s food security policies, even though former NPA mayoral candidate Peter Ladner is one its biggest supporters.